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Credible Interval

An interval containing the parameter with a stated posterior probability — 'given the data, there is a 95% probability theta lies here' — the direct statement a frequentist confidence interval cannot make, since a confidence procedure's 95% describes coverage across repeated experiments, not this dataset.

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An interval containing the parameter with a stated posterior probability — 'given the data, there is a 95% probability theta lies here' — the direct statement a frequentist confidence interval cannot make, since a confidence procedure's 95% describes coverage across repeated experiments, not this dataset.

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