Conceptual

Measurement-Induced Phase Transition in Classical Chaotic State Estimation

A classical, deterministic chaotic system whose state an observer can only estimate probabilistically exhibits a phase transition governed by how precisely it is repeatedly measured. By mapping Bayesian state estimation on a branching tree onto a directed polymer, the growth rate of the observer's Shannon entropy switches from a reduced-Lyapunov chaotic regime to a bounded strong-measurement regime, with a universal scaling function at the critical point that coincides with the directed polymer's freezing transition.